Real Aranjuez vs Deportivo Alavés III Wednesday 02nd September 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Friendlies Clubs

Real Aranjuez

Sept. 2, 2026 16 hours from now VS

Deportivo Alavés III

Match Analysis

Real Aranjuez Deportivo Alavés III

Real Aranjuez W

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Real Aranjuez and Deportivo Alavés III have been struggling in recent matches, indicating that neither team is in great form heading into this game. However, Real Aranjuez has shown some promising attacking performances lately, which could give them an edge despite the teams being closely matched overall. The model predicts a home win with a 44% probability and also suggests there's a good chance both teams will score, with a 53% likelihood for that outcome. Given the poor form of both sides, the model expects a relatively low-scoring game, favoring under 2.5 goals with a 47% chance for that outcome.

Real Aranjuez Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 3, 22	Home	Carabanchel	3 - 1	Win

Predictions

Real Aranjuez to win

This prediction indicates that Real Aranjuez has a 44.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.32 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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