Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Analysis
Real Avilés
Lugo
Real Avilés
W
L
L
W
W
D
Lugo
W
D
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | Lugo | 1 - 2 | January 25, 2026 |
| Lugo | Real Avilés | 0 - 0 | September 6, 2025 |
| Real Avilés | Lugo | 1 - 0 | August 19, 2023 |
Real Avilés Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Unionistas de Salamanca | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Athletic Club II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Pontevedra | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Sporting Gijón II | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Mosconia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Racing Ferrol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Lugo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | CD Coria | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Ponferradina | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Unionistas de Salamanca | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Ourense CF | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Coruxo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lugo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 | Real Avilés | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lugo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lugo has a 35.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.70 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments