Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II Saturday 15th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Real Monarchs Minnesota United II

Real Monarchs L L W D L L

Minnesota United II W W L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Real Monarchs	Minnesota United II	1 - 2	October 20, 2025
Real Monarchs	Minnesota United II	3 - 2	August 25, 2025
Minnesota United II	Real Monarchs	2 - 1	July 13, 2025
Minnesota United II	Real Monarchs	2 - 2	August 31, 2024
Real Monarchs	Minnesota United II	2 - 1	March 28, 2024
Minnesota United II	Real Monarchs	0 - 2	July 9, 2023

Real Monarchs Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Portland Timbers II	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 20, 26	Home	Tacoma Defiance	2 - 4	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Whitecaps II	2 - 1	Win
Jul 6, 26	Away	Los Angeles II	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Away	LA Galaxy II	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 22, 26	Away	Tacoma Defiance	1 - 0	Loss

Minnesota United II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Home	Swope Park Rangers	1 - 0	Win
Jul 13, 26	Away	Austin II	2 - 3	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Houston Dynamo FC II	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 29, 26	Home	Tacoma Defiance	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 25, 26	Away	Los Angeles II	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	St. Louis City II	5 - 2	Win

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
19	Minnesota United II	20	8	3	9	28	32	-4	27
24	Real Monarchs	20	6	4	10	31	36	-5	22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.66% likelihood that both Real Monarchs and Minnesota United II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Real Monarchs or Minnesota United II to win

This prediction indicates that Minnesota United II has a 40.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.51 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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