MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Real Monarchs
Minnesota United II
Real Monarchs
W
L
L
L
L
L
Minnesota United II
W
D
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs | Minnesota United II | 1 - 2 | October 20, 2025 |
| Real Monarchs | Minnesota United II | 3 - 2 | August 25, 2025 |
| Minnesota United II | Real Monarchs | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2025 |
| Minnesota United II | Real Monarchs | 2 - 2 | August 31, 2024 |
| Real Monarchs | Minnesota United II | 2 - 1 | March 28, 2024 |
| Minnesota United II | Real Monarchs | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2023 |
Real Monarchs Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Tacoma Defiance | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | St. Louis City II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 4 | Loss |
Minnesota United II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | North Texas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Swope Park Rangers | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Austin II | 2 - 3 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Minnesota United II | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 32 |
| 24 | Real Monarchs | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.66% likelihood that both Real Monarchs and Minnesota United II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Real Monarchs or Minnesota United II to win
This prediction indicates that Minnesota United II has a 41.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.94 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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