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Primera B Metropolitana

Aug. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Real Pilar Brown DE Adrogue
Real Pilar D W W L L W
Brown DE Adrogue W D W L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Brown DE Adrogue Real Pilar 1 - 1 April 14, 2026
Real Pilar Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 1 August 2, 2025
Brown DE Adrogue Real Pilar 0 - 0 March 15, 2025

Real Pilar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Argentino Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Defensores Unidos 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Comunicaciones 1 - 2 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Dock Sud 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away Deportivo Merlo 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Deportivo Camioneros 2 - 1 Win

Brown DE Adrogue Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Excursionistas 1 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Arsenal Sarandi 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Argentino de Merlo 1 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Talleres Remedios 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Deportivo Laferrere 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Ituzaingó 0 - 0 Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Real Pilar 29 12 8 9 33 31 +2 44
17 Brown DE Adrogue 29 7 10 12 19 30 -11 31

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Real Pilar to win
This prediction indicates that Real Pilar has a 49.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.80 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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