Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza Saturday 30th May 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Real Pilar UAI Urquiza

Real Pilar L D L L D D

UAI Urquiza L D D D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
UAI Urquiza	Real Pilar	0 - 1	September 8, 2025
Real Pilar	UAI Urquiza	2 - 2	April 20, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Away	Dock Sud	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Villa Dalmine	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Excursionistas	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Arsenal Sarandi	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Argentino de Merlo	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Talleres Remedios	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Away	Comunicaciones	3 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Away	Ituzaingó	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Villa Dalmine	0 - 0	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Excursionistas	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Arsenal Sarandi	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Argentino de Merlo	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Real Pilar	17	7	4	6	20	19	+1	25
19	UAI Urquiza	17	2	10	5	9	13	-4	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Real Pilar has a 40.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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