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Match Analysis

Recoleta San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta W D W D L L
San Marcos de Arica L L L D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Marcos de Arica Recoleta 1 - 0 May 5, 2026
Recoleta San Marcos de Arica 0 - 0 September 8, 2025
San Marcos de Arica Recoleta 2 - 1 May 4, 2025
San Marcos de Arica Recoleta 2 - 1 August 18, 2024
Recoleta San Marcos de Arica 1 - 2 April 7, 2024
San Marcos de Arica Recoleta 3 - 2 July 29, 2023

Recoleta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Deportes Copiapo 2 - 1 Win
Aug 18, 26 Away Deportes Temuco 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 12, 26 Home Rangers de Talca 4 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Union San Felipe 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home D. Puerto Montt 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Away Union Espanola 2 - 1 Loss

San Marcos de Arica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Rangers de Talca 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Union Espanola 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Home Union San Felipe 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Santiago Wanderers 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Deportes Iquique 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Magallanes 2 - 0 Win

Primera B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 San Marcos de Arica 21 7 9 5 25 18 +7 30
9 Recoleta 21 8 6 7 32 31 +1 30

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Recoleta to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Recoleta has a 37.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.87 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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