Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers Sunday 19th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Recoleta Santiago Wanderers

Recoleta D D D L W L

Santiago Wanderers L D W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Santiago Wanderers	Recoleta	0 - 2	February 21, 2026
Recoleta	Santiago Wanderers	1 - 1	August 23, 2025
Santiago Wanderers	Recoleta	1 - 1	April 18, 2025
Santiago Wanderers	Recoleta	1 - 1	July 16, 2024
Recoleta	Santiago Wanderers	3 - 1	February 25, 2024
Recoleta	Santiago Wanderers	4 - 1	July 22, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Deportes Iquique	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	San Luis	0 - 0	Draw
May 21, 26	Home	Cobreloa	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Magallanes	3 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Deportes Santa Cruz	1 - 0	Win
May 5, 26	Away	San Marcos de Arica	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Deportes Copiapo	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Union Espanola	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Rangers de Talca	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Curico Unido	0 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Cobreloa	5 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Deportes Temuco	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Santiago Wanderers	15	7	5	3	29	18	+11	26
8	Recoleta	15	6	4	5	24	24	0	22

This prediction indicates that Santiago Wanderers has a 41.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.81 %

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