Serie C - Girone B
Match Analysis
Reggiana
Ravenna
Reggiana
W
L
D
L
W
L
Ravenna
L
L
L
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Reggiana holds a modest quality edge over Ravenna, and this is bolstered by their better recent form and a significant rest advantage. Despite recent meetings between the two teams featuring plenty of goals, the model predicts a home win with a 44% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor Reggiana. The model also suggests it is somewhat more likely that under 1.5 goals are scored (contrary to the odds) and that both teams are less likely to score (also somewhat contrary to the odds).
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reggiana | Ravenna | 3 - 1 | January 12, 2020 |
| Ravenna | Reggiana | 1 - 2 | September 1, 2019 |
| Ravenna | Reggiana | 1 - 2 | April 8, 2018 |
| Reggiana | Ravenna | 3 - 0 | November 19, 2017 |
Reggiana Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 26 | Home | Sampdoria | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 1, 26 | Away | Modena | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Palermo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Padova | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | Carrarese | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 6, 26 | Home | Pescara | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Ravenna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Benevento | 5 - 3 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Salernitana | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Salernitana | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Cittadella | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Cittadella | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Vis Pesaro | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie C - Girone B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ravenna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Reggiana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Reggiana to win
This prediction indicates that Reggiana has a 43.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.90 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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