Rennes vs Caen Thursday 09th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Rennes Caen

Rennes L L W L W W

Caen L D W W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Caen	Rennes	1 - 2	July 20, 2022
Rennes	Caen	3 - 1	March 10, 2019
Caen	Rennes	1 - 2	November 3, 2018
Caen	Rennes	2 - 2	February 17, 2018
Rennes	Caen	0 - 1	September 30, 2017
Caen	Rennes	0 - 1	May 14, 2017

Rennes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Lausanne	0 - 9	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Marseille	3 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Paris FC	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Lyon	4 - 2	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Nantes	2 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Strasbourg	0 - 3	Win

Caen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 15, 26	Away	Aubagne	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Concarneau	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Home	Villefranche	3 - 0	Win
Apr 17, 26	Away	Bourg-en-bresse 01	0 - 2	Win
Apr 10, 26	Away	Gobelins	0 - 3	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Stade Briochin	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Caen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2880	Rennes	1	0	0	1	0	9	-9	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.51% likelihood that both Rennes and Caen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Rennes to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Rennes has a 37.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.19 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs

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