Rentistas vs Cerrito Saturday 18th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Rentistas Cerrito

Rentistas L W W L L D

Cerrito D W L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rentistas	Cerrito	0 - 1	August 20, 2025
Cerrito	Rentistas	1 - 2	May 31, 2025
Cerrito	Rentistas	1 - 0	April 27, 2025
Cerrito	Rentistas	0 - 2	August 18, 2024
Rentistas	Cerrito	0 - 1	May 18, 2024
Rentistas	Cerrito	1 - 0	April 13, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Paysandu	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sportivo Huracan	1 - 2	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Uruguay Montevideo	1 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Oriental	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Colón	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Fenix	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Tacuarembo	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	Plaza Colonia	1 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	La Luz	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	CA River Plate	6 - 4	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Atenas	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Paysandu	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Cerrito	15	6	6	3	22	21	+1	24
8	Rentistas	15	5	5	5	14	17	-3	20

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.64% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Rentistas has a 41.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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