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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Retrô Treze
Retrô D D W L L W
Treze D L W W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Treze Retrô 3 - 0 April 4, 2026

Retrô Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Serra Branca 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Lagarto 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Decisão 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Sergipe 1 - 0 Loss
May 4, 26 Home Sergipe 1 - 3 Loss
Apr 30, 26 Home America-RN 2 - 1 Win

Treze Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Decisão 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Lagarto 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Sergipe 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Serra Branca 1 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Home Decisão 2 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Serra Branca 1 - 1 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 Treze 9 5 2 2 18 11 +7 17
81 Retrô 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Retrô to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Retrô has a 35.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.26 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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