Rio Ave vs FC Porto Saturday 15th August 2026 10:30 PM football predictions.

Rio Ave FC Porto

Rio Ave D W W D L D

FC Porto W L W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Porto	Rio Ave	1 - 0	February 22, 2026
Rio Ave	FC Porto	0 - 3	September 19, 2025
Rio Ave	FC Porto	2 - 2	February 3, 2025
FC Porto	Rio Ave	2 - 0	August 24, 2024
FC Porto	Rio Ave	0 - 0	February 3, 2024
Rio Ave	FC Porto	1 - 2	August 28, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	Al-Ahli Jeddah	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	Portimonense	0 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Arouca	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Sporting CP	1 - 4	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	GIL Vicente	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	GIL Vicente	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Santa Clara	1 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	AVS	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Alverca	1 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Estrela	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	FC Porto	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Rio Ave	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Porto has a 62.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.05 %

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