Primera A
Match Analysis
Rionegro Aguilas
Millonarios
Rionegro Aguilas
W
W
D
D
W
D
Millonarios
W
W
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 0 | February 11, 2026 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Millonarios | 1 - 2 | August 30, 2025 |
| Millonarios | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 0 | March 16, 2025 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Millonarios | 2 - 1 | August 25, 2024 |
| Millonarios | Rionegro Aguilas | 0 - 1 | February 16, 2024 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Millonarios | 2 - 0 | September 3, 2023 |
Rionegro Aguilas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Santa Fe | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 26, 26 | Away | Real Soacha | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Ind. Yumbo | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Jaguares | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pasto | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Junior | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Bucaramanga | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Colo Colo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Universitario | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Depor FC | 1 - 8 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Millonarios | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 32 |
| 10 | Rionegro Aguilas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
Predictions
Millonarios to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Millonarios has a 35.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.12 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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