CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Match Analysis
River Plate
Santa Fe
River Plate
D
D
W
L
L
L
Santa Fe
D
D
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
River Plate carries a modest quality edge over Santa Fe, but the model also notes that River Plate has had poor recent form compared to Santa Fe's moderate form. Recent meetings between the two teams have usually ended in draws, with goals being scarce. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest, and also leans toward an under 1.5 goals outcome, aligning with the generally low-scoring nature of their past encounters.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | River Plate | 0 - 0 | August 20, 2026 |
| River Plate | Santa Fe | 2 - 1 | May 20, 2021 |
| Santa Fe | River Plate | 0 - 0 | May 7, 2021 |
River Plate Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Velez Sarsfield | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Argentinos JRS | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Tigre | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Rosario Central | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Gimnasia L.P. | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Santa Fe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | River Plate | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Chico | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Union Magdalena | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Caracas FC | 0 - 3 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.River Plate to win
This prediction indicates that River Plate has a 47.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.31 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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