River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield Monday 24th August 2026 01:15 AM football predictions.

Liga Profesional Argentina

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

River Plate Velez Sarsfield

River Plate L L L L L D

Velez Sarsfield D W W W L D

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Velez Sarsfield	River Plate	1 - 0	February 22, 2026
Velez Sarsfield	River Plate	0 - 0	November 16, 2025
River Plate	Velez Sarsfield	4 - 1	May 4, 2025
River Plate	Velez Sarsfield	1 - 1	October 19, 2024
Velez Sarsfield	River Plate	2 - 2	May 30, 2023
Velez Sarsfield	River Plate	2 - 2	July 17, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Tigre	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Home	Rosario Central	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 29, 26	Away	Gimnasia L.P.	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Barracas Central	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Aldosivi	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Flamengo	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 3, 26	Home	Independiente	1 - 0	Win
Jul 30, 26	Away	Talleres Cordoba	1 - 3	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	Instituto Cordoba	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Home	Gimnasia L.P.	0 - 1	Loss
May 4, 26	Home	Newells Old Boys	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Velez Sarsfield	21	10	8	3	24	15	+9	38
7	River Plate	24	11	3	10	28	20	+8	36

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that River Plate has a 48.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.92 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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