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Aug. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Rodina Moskva Rubin
Rodina Moskva L D W W W W
Rubin W W D L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rubin Rodina Moskva 1 - 4 February 22, 2024
Rodina Moskva Rubin 0 - 0 June 3, 2023
Rubin Rodina Moskva 2 - 0 July 17, 2022

Rodina Moskva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 2, 26 Home Akron 0 - 5 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Lokomotiv 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Arsenal Tula 1 - 4 Win
May 8, 26 Home Chelyabinsk 2 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Chernomorets 1 - 3 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home FC UFA 1 - 0 Win

Rubin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away Lokomotiv 1 - 3 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Krylia Sovetov 2 - 0 Win
Jul 8, 26 Away Spartak Moscow 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 3, 26 Home FC Orenburg 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Home KAMAZ 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Nizhny Novgorod 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Rubin to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Rubin has a 37.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.12 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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