Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Monday 27th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Rosenborg Fredrikstad

Rosenborg W W D L L W

Fredrikstad L L D D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fredrikstad	Rosenborg	0 - 2	May 28, 2025
Rosenborg	Fredrikstad	1 - 0	April 5, 2025
Fredrikstad	Rosenborg	2 - 2	July 27, 2024
Rosenborg	Fredrikstad	1 - 1	June 2, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Kristiansund BK	3 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Home	Molde	2 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Bodo/Glimt	2 - 2	Draw
May 25, 26	Away	KFUM Oslo	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Aalesund	2 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Lillestrom	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Lillestrom	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Valerenga	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	IF Elfsborg	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Ham-Kam	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Start	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Sandefjord	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Fredrikstad	12	4	2	6	15	22	-7	14
15	Rosenborg	11	2	3	6	9	18	-9	9

This prediction indicates that Rosenborg has a 48.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.83 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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