Rot-Weiß Essen vs SW Essen Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Rot-Weiß Essen SW Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen L W W W L L

SW Essen L L W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rot-Weiß Essen	SW Essen	5 - 1	July 5, 2025
SW Essen	Rot-Weiß Essen	1 - 4	July 7, 2024
SW Essen	Rot-Weiß Essen	2 - 5	July 8, 2023
SW Essen	Rot-Weiß Essen	0 - 2	July 3, 2022
SW Essen	Rot-Weiß Essen	1 - 6	August 4, 2021

Rot-Weiß Essen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Away	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Mostistea Ulmu	2 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Verl	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Stuttgart II	6 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC Saarbrücken	1 - 2	Loss

SW Essen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 13, 26	Away	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 25	Away	Rot-Weiß Essen	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 31, 24	Home	Arminia Klosterhardt	6 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 24	Home	Hordel	3 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 24	Home	Rot-Weiß Essen	1 - 4	Loss
Mar 5, 24	Away	Frohnhausen	0 - 4	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
944	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
2443	SW Essen	1	0	0	1	2	4	-2	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.17% likelihood that both Rot-Weiß Essen and SW Essen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Rot-Weiß Essen to win

This prediction indicates that Rot-Weiß Essen has a 45.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.31 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 78.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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