First League
Match Analysis
Rotor Volgograd
FK Neftekhimik
Rotor Volgograd
L
D
W
L
W
W
FK Neftekhimik
L
L
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Rotor Volgograd have moderate recent form, while FK Neftekhimik are coming off poor performances. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring the home side and notes that Rotor Volgograd have dominated recent meetings between the two teams. Consequently, the model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds imply. The model also suggests it is unlikely both teams will score and that the game will finish with fewer than two goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | FK Neftekhimik | 3 - 1 | April 5, 2026 |
| FK Neftekhimik | Rotor Volgograd | 0 - 0 | October 5, 2025 |
| Rotor Volgograd | FK Neftekhimik | 1 - 0 | November 24, 2024 |
| FK Neftekhimik | Rotor Volgograd | 1 - 0 | August 4, 2024 |
| Rotor Volgograd | FK Neftekhimik | 2 - 1 | March 26, 2022 |
| FK Neftekhimik | Rotor Volgograd | 1 - 3 | September 15, 2021 |
Rotor Volgograd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Arsenal Tula | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Ural | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Chelyabinsk | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Veles | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | KAMAZ | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Ska-khabarovsk | 1 - 0 | Win |
FK Neftekhimik Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | PFC Sochi | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Nizhny Novgorod | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Tekstilshchik | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Volga Ulyanovsk | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Arsenal Tula | 0 - 1 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 10 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
Predictions
Rotor Volgograd to win
This prediction indicates that Rotor Volgograd has a 60.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.43 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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