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1st League - FBiH

Aug. 16, 2026 1 day, 11 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Rudar Kakanj Travnik
Travnik D W L L W D
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two teams are closely matched in overall quality, but Rudar Kakanj's poor recent form contrasts with Travnik's moderate recent form. Despite this, the model predicts a home win with a 41% probability, which is not strongly in favor of either side. The model also sees a 51% chance that both teams will score and a 50% chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored, suggesting an open, potentially high-scoring game. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's view stands on its own assessment of the teams' recent performances and overall balance.

Travnik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Radnik Hadžići 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Tuzla City 0 - 4 Win
May 24, 26 Home TOŠK Tešanj 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Vitez 2 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Jedinstvo Bihać 3 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Stupčanica Olovo 2 - 2 Draw

1st League - FBiH Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Travnik 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Rudar Kakanj 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Rudar Kakanj or Travnik to win
This prediction indicates that Rudar Kakanj has a 40.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.02 %

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