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Friendlies

June 5, 2026 3 weeks, 3 days ago
5 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Russia U21 Iraq U23
Russia U21 L W W W W D
Iraq U23 W W L L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Russia U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 30, 26 Home Jordan U23 1 - 2 Loss
Mar 27, 26 Home Uzbekistan U23 2 - 1 Win
Nov 18, 25 Away Kyrgyz Republic U23 0 - 8 Win
Nov 15, 25 Away Bahrain U23 0 - 2 Win
Nov 12, 25 Home Iran U23 2 - 0 Win
Oct 13, 25 Away Belarus U21 1 - 1 Draw

Iraq U23 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Nov 18, 25 Home Singapore U23 2 - 0 Win
Nov 15, 25 Away Saudi Arabia U23 0 - 1 Win
Oct 14, 25 Away Tunisia U23 3 - 0 Loss
Oct 11, 25 Away Tunisia U23 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 23 Home Iran U23 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 18, 23 Home Oman U23 1 - 0 Win

Friendlies Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
145 Russia U21 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
230 Iraq U23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Russia U21 to win
This prediction indicates that Russia U21 has a 59.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.09 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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