Russia U21 vs Iraq U23 Friday 05th June 2026 05:30 PM football predictions.

Russia U21 Iraq U23

Russia U21 L W W W W D

Iraq U23 W W L L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 30, 26	Home	Jordan U23	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 27, 26	Home	Uzbekistan U23	2 - 1	Win
Nov 18, 25	Away	Kyrgyz Republic U23	0 - 8	Win
Nov 15, 25	Away	Bahrain U23	0 - 2	Win
Nov 12, 25	Home	Iran U23	2 - 0	Win
Oct 13, 25	Away	Belarus U21	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 18, 25	Home	Singapore U23	2 - 0	Win
Nov 15, 25	Away	Saudi Arabia U23	0 - 1	Win
Oct 14, 25	Away	Tunisia U23	3 - 0	Loss
Oct 11, 25	Away	Tunisia U23	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 23	Home	Iran U23	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 18, 23	Home	Oman U23	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
145	Russia U21	2	1	0	1	3	3	0	3
230	Iraq U23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Russia U21 has a 59.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.09 %

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