Erovnuli Liga
Match Analysis
Rustavi
Saburtalo
Rustavi
L
D
W
W
W
L
Saburtalo
W
L
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo | Rustavi | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| Rustavi | Saburtalo | 2 - 1 | April 26, 2026 |
| Rustavi | Saburtalo | 0 - 3 | October 6, 2019 |
| Saburtalo | Rustavi | 2 - 2 | July 2, 2019 |
| Rustavi | Saburtalo | 3 - 1 | May 10, 2019 |
| Saburtalo | Rustavi | 2 - 1 | March 10, 2019 |
Rustavi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Dinamo Batumi | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Samgurali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Gagra | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Torpedo Kutaisi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 22, 26 | Away | Dila | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Saburtalo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Samgurali | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Gagra | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Jagiellonia | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Jagiellonia | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Torpedo Kutaisi | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Larne | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Erovnuli Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 20 | +10 | 42 |
| 4 | Saburtalo | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 25 | +7 | 37 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Rustavi to win
This prediction indicates that Rustavi has a 42.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.72 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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