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Erovnuli Liga logo

Erovnuli Liga

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Rustavi Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi L W W W L W
Torpedo Kutaisi L L D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Torpedo Kutaisi Rustavi 1 - 1 May 5, 2026
Rustavi Torpedo Kutaisi 1 - 0 March 7, 2026
Rustavi Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 0 October 27, 2019
Torpedo Kutaisi Rustavi 0 - 1 August 11, 2019
Rustavi Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 4 May 20, 2019
Torpedo Kutaisi Rustavi 2 - 0 March 31, 2019

Rustavi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 22, 26 Away Dila 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 17, 26 Away Saburtalo 1 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Meshakhte 1 - 0 Win
May 29, 26 Home Spaeri 2 - 1 Win
May 25, 26 Away Dinamo Batumi 1 - 0 Loss
May 21, 26 Home Samgurali 1 - 0 Win

Torpedo Kutaisi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Home Zira 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 8, 26 Away Zira 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 22, 26 Home Spaeri 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Samgurali 2 - 1 Loss
May 28, 26 Home Gagra 1 - 2 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Rustavi 19 9 5 5 22 18 +4 32
4 Torpedo Kutaisi 19 7 6 6 30 19 +11 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Torpedo Kutaisi to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Torpedo Kutaisi has a 35.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.79 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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