São Luiz vs Velo Clube Saturday 11th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

São Luiz Velo Clube

São Luiz D D W D L W

Velo Clube D D W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Blumenau	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Blumenau	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Home	Joinville	3 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Cascavel	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Santa Catarina	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Guarany de Bagé	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Água Santa	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Água Santa	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Home	CFRJ / Maricá	3 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	XV de Piracicaba	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Noroeste	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
34	São Luiz	12	4	5	3	13	11	+2	17
48	Velo Clube	12	3	6	3	11	11	0	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that São Luiz will score 0 goals, and Velo Clube will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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