Erovnuli Liga
Match Analysis
Saburtalo
Dila
Saburtalo
L
L
L
L
D
D
Dila
L
D
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Saburtalo has had the upper hand in matchups between these two teams, often keeping games tight with few goals. The model predicts a home win with a 52% probability, reflecting Saburtalo's clear quality advantage and strong recent attacking performance, despite both teams showing moderate form. The model also sees a less than even chance that anyone will score at all, and expects the game to stay low-scoring, aligning with the recent trend of hard-fought, low-goal meetings between them. Market odds aren't provided for direct comparison in this case.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dila | Saburtalo | 0 - 1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Saburtalo | Dila | 1 - 0 | March 6, 2026 |
| Saburtalo | Dila | 2 - 1 | October 26, 2025 |
| Dila | Saburtalo | 0 - 6 | August 17, 2025 |
| Saburtalo | Dila | 1 - 0 | May 2, 2025 |
| Dila | Saburtalo | 0 - 1 | March 10, 2025 |
Saburtalo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Gagra | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Jagiellonia | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Jagiellonia | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Torpedo Kutaisi | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Larne | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Larne | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Dila Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Torpedo Kutaisi | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Meshakhte | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Apollon Limassol | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Apollon Limassol | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Virtus | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Erovnuli Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Dila | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 22 | +4 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Saburtalo to win
This prediction indicates that Saburtalo has a 45.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.85 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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