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Erovnuli Liga logo

Erovnuli Liga

June 23, 2026 6 days, 6 hours ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Saburtalo Meshakhte
Saburtalo L D W L W L
Meshakhte D L L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Meshakhte Saburtalo 1 - 4 May 2, 2026
Saburtalo Meshakhte 2 - 2 April 11, 2026

Saburtalo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 17, 26 Home Rustavi 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Home Spaeri 1 - 1 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 1 - 0 Win
May 25, 26 Away Samgurali 3 - 2 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Gagra 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 0 Loss

Meshakhte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 18, 26 Home Gagra 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Rustavi 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Dinamo Tbilisi 1 - 6 Loss
May 25, 26 Away Spaeri 2 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 1 - 4 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Dinamo Batumi 2 - 1 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Saburtalo 18 9 4 5 25 17 +8 31
10 Meshakhte 18 1 8 9 12 32 -20 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Saburtalo to win
This prediction indicates that Saburtalo has a 60.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.09 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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