Saburtalo vs Rustavi Wednesday 17th June 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Saburtalo Rustavi

Saburtalo D W L W L D

Rustavi W W L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rustavi	Saburtalo	2 - 1	April 26, 2026
Rustavi	Saburtalo	0 - 3	October 6, 2019
Saburtalo	Rustavi	2 - 2	July 2, 2019
Rustavi	Saburtalo	3 - 1	May 10, 2019
Saburtalo	Rustavi	2 - 1	March 10, 2019
Saburtalo	Rustavi	2 - 1	November 3, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 12, 26	Home	Spaeri	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Dinamo Batumi	1 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Samgurali	3 - 2	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Gagra	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Dinamo Tbilisi	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Home	Meshakhte	1 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Spaeri	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Dinamo Batumi	1 - 0	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	Samgurali	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Gagra	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Dinamo Tbilisi	2 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saburtalo	17	9	4	4	24	15	+9	31
2	Rustavi	17	8	5	4	20	14	+6	29

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.73% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Saburtalo has a 45.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 38.14 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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