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Erovnuli Liga logo

Erovnuli Liga

June 12, 2026 2 weeks, 3 days ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Saburtalo Spaeri
Saburtalo W L W L D W
Spaeri L W D D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Spaeri Saburtalo 0 - 2 April 22, 2026

Saburtalo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 1 - 0 Win
May 25, 26 Away Samgurali 3 - 2 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Gagra 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 1 - 1 Draw
May 6, 26 Away Dila 0 - 1 Win

Spaeri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Away Rustavi 2 - 1 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Meshakhte 2 - 1 Win
May 21, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 3 - 3 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Samgurali 0 - 0 Draw
May 11, 26 Home Gagra 3 - 0 Win
May 7, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 1 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Saburtalo 16 9 3 4 23 14 +9 30
7 Spaeri 16 5 5 6 23 21 +2 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Saburtalo to win
This prediction indicates that Saburtalo has a 60.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.04 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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