Primera C
Match Analysis
Sacachispas
Deportivo Paraguayo
Sacachispas
W
L
D
W
W
L
Deportivo Paraguayo
D
W
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Sacachispas with a 64% probability. The prediction leans toward a home win due to Sacachispas having a clear quality gap in their favor and stronger recent form compared to Deportivo Paraguayo, who have shown defensive struggles recently. The market odds also suggest a favor towards a home win, though the model appears slightly more confident than what the odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a low chance of both teams scoring, aligning with the defensive weaknesses of Deportivo Paraguayo.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Paraguayo | Sacachispas | 2 - 1 | April 11, 2026 |
Sacachispas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Atletico Atlas | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Puerto Nuevo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Leandro N. Alem | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Juventud Unida | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Lugano | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Deportivo Paraguayo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Central Ballester | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Argentino Rosario | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Estrella Del Sur | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Berazategui | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Victoriano Arenas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Centro Español | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sacachispas | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 16 | +11 | 38 |
| 27 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 20 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 62.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Sacachispas to win
This prediction indicates that Sacachispas has a 64.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.91 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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