Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United Sunday 21st June 2026 06:00 AM football predictions.

Sacramento Republic New Mexico United

Sacramento Republic W L L W D D

New Mexico United D D W L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
New Mexico United	Sacramento Republic	0 - 2	August 31, 2025
Sacramento Republic	New Mexico United	2 - 1	March 9, 2025
Sacramento Republic	New Mexico United	4 - 0	September 30, 2024
New Mexico United	Sacramento Republic	3 - 1	September 19, 2024
Sacramento Republic	New Mexico United	1 - 0	October 22, 2023
Sacramento Republic	New Mexico United	0 - 0	September 21, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	2 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	San Antonio	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Orange County SC	3 - 2	Win
Apr 21, 26	Away	Brooklyn	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Orange County SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	1 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	3 - 1	Win
May 7, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Sacramento Republic	11	4	4	3	13	11	+2	16
18	New Mexico United	11	4	3	4	12	13	-1	15

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Sacramento Republic will score 0 goals, and New Mexico United will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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