USL Championship
Match Analysis
Sacramento Republic
San Antonio
Sacramento Republic
D
D
D
W
D
L
San Antonio
D
W
L
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | 2 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
| San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | 1 - 3 | August 3, 2025 |
| Sacramento Republic | San Antonio | 0 - 0 | June 15, 2025 |
| San Antonio | Sacramento Republic | 2 - 1 | October 6, 2024 |
| Sacramento Republic | San Antonio | 1 - 0 | August 25, 2024 |
| Sacramento Republic | San Antonio | 3 - 1 | October 28, 2023 |
Sacramento Republic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Phoenix Rising | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Lexington | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | FC Tulsa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
San Antonio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | New Mexico United | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Louisville City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Indy Eleven | 3 - 1 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Antonio | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 35 |
| 12 | Sacramento Republic | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sacramento Republic to win
This prediction indicates that Sacramento Republic has a 49.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.35 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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