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J2 League

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Sagan Tosu Shonan Bellmare
Sagan Tosu L D D W W D
Shonan Bellmare D L L L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sagan Tosu Shonan Bellmare 1 - 2 August 31, 2024
Shonan Bellmare Sagan Tosu 2 - 1 May 6, 2024
Shonan Bellmare Sagan Tosu 0 - 6 June 24, 2023
Sagan Tosu Shonan Bellmare 1 - 5 February 18, 2023
Shonan Bellmare Sagan Tosu 3 - 0 October 29, 2022
Sagan Tosu Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 February 26, 2022

Sagan Tosu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis 3 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home FC Ryukyu 2 - 2 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Renofa Yamaguchi 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Oita Trinita 0 - 1 Win
May 6, 26 Home Gainare Tottori 4 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Home Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 - 1 Draw

Shonan Bellmare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Iwaki 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Montedio Yamagata 3 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Vegalta Sendai 0 - 2 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Yokohama FC 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Vanraure Hachinohe 0 - 1 Win
May 2, 26 Home Tochigi City 1 - 2 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Sagan Tosu 19 8 6 5 25 17 +8 30
14 Shonan Bellmare 19 8 5 6 26 20 +6 29

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sagan Tosu to win
This prediction indicates that Sagan Tosu has a 54.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.33 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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