Serie C - Girone C
Match Analysis
Salernitana
Sorrento
Salernitana
W
L
D
W
W
D
Sorrento
D
D
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Salernitana is seen as the stronger side in this match, with a clear quality gap in their favor and better recent form compared to Sorrento. The model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, despite Sorrento having a rest advantage, the model also leans toward 'under' for both the over/under 1.5 and 2.5 goals markets, indicating an expectation of a lower-scoring game overall.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sorrento | Salernitana | 0 - 2 | January 25, 2026 |
| Salernitana | Sorrento | 2 - 1 | September 14, 2025 |
Salernitana Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sambiase | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Union Brescia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Union Brescia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Ravenna | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Ravenna | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Casertana | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Sorrento Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | AZ Picerno | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Atalanta II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Potenza | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 6, 26 | Home | Team Altamura | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 30, 26 | Away | Casertana | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Mar 22, 26 | Home | Crotone | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Serie C - Girone C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sorrento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Salernitana to win
This prediction indicates that Salernitana has a 59.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.86 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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