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Erovnuli Liga

Sept. 9, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Samgurali Dila
Samgurali W L W W D L
Dila D W L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dila Samgurali 2 - 3 May 29, 2026
Samgurali Dila 0 - 1 April 17, 2026
Dila Samgurali 2 - 1 November 26, 2025
Samgurali Dila 1 - 2 September 19, 2025
Dila Samgurali 4 - 3 May 20, 2025
Samgurali Dila 0 - 1 April 9, 2025

Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Spaeri 3 - 4 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Meshakhte 1 - 2 Win
Jul 20, 26 Away Spaeri 0 - 1 Win
Jun 24, 26 Away Gagra 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 18, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 5 - 3 Loss

Dila Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Meshakhte 3 - 1 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Apollon Limassol 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Home Apollon Limassol 0 - 4 Loss
Jul 16, 26 Away Virtus 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 9, 26 Home Virtus 3 - 1 Win

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Dila 20 9 2 9 24 20 +4 29
7 Samgurali 21 8 4 9 27 37 -10 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.87% likelihood that both Samgurali and Dila will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Samgurali to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Samgurali has a 36.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.30 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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