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Erovnuli Liga logo

Erovnuli Liga

Aug. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Samgurali Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali W D L W W W
Dinamo Batumi L L L W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dinamo Batumi Samgurali 3 - 1 May 10, 2026
Samgurali Dinamo Batumi 1 - 1 March 12, 2026
Samgurali Dinamo Batumi 4 - 0 November 30, 2025
Dinamo Batumi Samgurali 1 - 2 September 28, 2025
Samgurali Dinamo Batumi 3 - 0 May 25, 2025
Dinamo Batumi Samgurali 2 - 0 April 14, 2025

Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 20, 26 Away Spaeri 0 - 1 Win
Jun 24, 26 Away Gagra 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 18, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 5 - 3 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Away Dila 2 - 3 Win
May 25, 26 Home Saburtalo 3 - 2 Win

Dinamo Batumi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Away Amed 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Rizespor 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 23, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 17, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 3 Win
Jun 12, 26 Home Dila 3 - 2 Win
May 29, 26 Away Saburtalo 1 - 0 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Dinamo Batumi 19 7 6 6 28 30 -2 27
7 Samgurali 18 7 3 8 25 32 -7 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.85% likelihood that both Samgurali and Dinamo Batumi will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Samgurali to win
This prediction indicates that Samgurali has a 45.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.09 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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