Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi Saturday 13th June 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Samgurali Torpedo Kutaisi

Samgurali W W L D L W

Torpedo Kutaisi L W W W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Torpedo Kutaisi	Samgurali	6 - 1	April 21, 2026
Torpedo Kutaisi	Samgurali	2 - 1	January 24, 2026
Samgurali	Torpedo Kutaisi	2 - 4	November 22, 2025
Torpedo Kutaisi	Samgurali	6 - 2	September 13, 2025
Samgurali	Torpedo Kutaisi	0 - 1	May 15, 2025
Torpedo Kutaisi	Samgurali	1 - 1	April 5, 2025

Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Dila	2 - 3	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Saburtalo	3 - 2	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Rustavi	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Spaeri	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Dinamo Batumi	3 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Meshakhte	3 - 1	Win

Torpedo Kutaisi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 28, 26	Home	Gagra	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Dinamo Tbilisi	0 - 1	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Meshakhte	1 - 4	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Dila	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Saburtalo	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Home	Rustavi	1 - 1	Draw

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Torpedo Kutaisi	16	7	5	4	27	14	+13	26
7	Samgurali	16	6	3	7	20	26	-6	21

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.52% likelihood that both Samgurali and Torpedo Kutaisi will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Torpedo Kutaisi to win

This prediction indicates that Torpedo Kutaisi has a 45.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.58 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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