Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa Saturday 20th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Portuguesa

Sampaio Corrêa RJ L W D L L D

Portuguesa W W W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Noroeste	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Velo Clube	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	CFRJ / Maricá	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Nova Iguaçu	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	XV de Piracicaba	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	XV de Piracicaba	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Portuguesa RJ	2 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Pouso Alegre	1 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Home	América RJ	4 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Água Santa	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Madureira	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Madureira	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Portuguesa	10	6	3	1	16	6	+10	21
65	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	10	3	3	4	8	10	-2	12

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Portuguesa has a 56.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.37 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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