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Serie D logo

Serie D

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Velo Clube
Sampaio Corrêa RJ D L L D W D
Velo Clube D L D D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Velo Clube Sampaio Corrêa RJ 2 - 0 April 11, 2026

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home CFRJ / Maricá 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Nova Iguaçu 2 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Away XV de Piracicaba 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home XV de Piracicaba 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Nova Iguaçu 1 - 0 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away CFRJ / Maricá 2 - 2 Draw

Velo Clube Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home XV de Piracicaba 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Noroeste 3 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Nova Iguaçu 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Nova Iguaçu 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Noroeste 1 - 0 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away XV de Piracicaba 1 - 1 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
59 Velo Clube 8 2 4 2 7 8 -1 10
67 Sampaio Corrêa RJ 8 2 3 3 7 9 -2 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.97% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sampaio Corrêa RJ has a 37.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.38 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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