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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Sampaio Correa Trem
Sampaio Correa L W W W D L
Trem W L W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Sampaio Correa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Iguatu 0 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Away IAPE 1 - 3 Win
May 24, 26 Home Moto Club 4 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Home Parnahyba 4 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Maracanã 1 - 1 Draw
May 6, 26 Away Moto Club 1 - 0 Loss

Trem Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Águia de Marabá 2 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Tuna Luso 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Tocantinópolis 4 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Oratório 4 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Away Imperatriz 4 - 0 Loss
May 4, 26 Home Imperatriz 2 - 1 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Trem 10 6 2 2 19 13 +6 20
48 Sampaio Correa 10 3 4 3 12 6 +6 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Trem to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Trem has a 35.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.44 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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