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USL Championship

July 5, 2026 4 days, 23 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

San Antonio Monterey Bay
San Antonio W L D W D D
Monterey Bay W L W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Monterey Bay San Antonio 0 - 0 April 5, 2026
Monterey Bay San Antonio 0 - 0 August 24, 2025
San Antonio Monterey Bay 1 - 0 March 9, 2025
Monterey Bay San Antonio 0 - 1 September 8, 2024
San Antonio Monterey Bay 2 - 1 March 31, 2024
San Antonio Monterey Bay 0 - 0 August 20, 2023

San Antonio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Away Colorado Springs 1 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Lexington 2 - 0 Loss
May 27, 26 Away Sporting JAX 4 - 4 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Sacramento Republic 2 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away Phoenix Rising 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Colorado Springs 3 - 3 Draw

Monterey Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home El Paso Locomotive 1 - 0 Win
Jun 18, 26 Away FC Tulsa 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 11, 26 Home Sporting JAX 2 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Home Loudoun United 4 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Birmingham Legion 2 - 0 Win
May 8, 26 Away Lexington 3 - 1 Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 San Antonio 13 5 6 2 18 16 +2 21
21 Monterey Bay 14 4 2 8 14 22 -8 14

Predictions

San Antonio to win
This prediction indicates that San Antonio has a 43.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.45 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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