MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes II
Austin II
San Jose Earthquakes II
L
L
L
W
W
L
Austin II
D
W
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Recent meetings between San Jose Earthquakes II and Austin II have been fairly even, with neither side consistently dominating the other. The model predicts an away win for Austin II with a 41% probability, reflecting Austin II's modest quality edge and strong recent form, despite San Jose Earthquakes II's moderate recent form and strong attacking display. The model also suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring and the match exceeding both 1.5 and 2.5 goals, indicating an expectation of a dynamic and open game. Market odds are not available for direct comparison in this fixture.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Austin II | 1 - 2 | October 5, 2025 |
| Austin II | San Jose Earthquakes II | 3 - 4 | October 6, 2024 |
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Austin II | 0 - 0 | April 21, 2024 |
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Austin II | 0 - 2 | August 13, 2023 |
| Austin II | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 1 | May 20, 2023 |
San Jose Earthquakes II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | LA Galaxy II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | North Texas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Tacoma Defiance | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Swope Park Rangers | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers II | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Whitecaps II | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Austin II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Whitecaps II | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Minnesota United II | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids II | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | St. Louis City II | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 22, 26 | Home | Swope Park Rangers | 2 - 1 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin II | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | +24 | 43 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 27 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.11% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes II and Austin II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.San Jose Earthquakes II or Austin II to win
This prediction indicates that Austin II has a 41.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.01 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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