San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance Monday 13th July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance

San Jose Earthquakes II W L W D L D

Tacoma Defiance W W L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tacoma Defiance	San Jose Earthquakes II	0 - 0	March 15, 2026
San Jose Earthquakes II	Tacoma Defiance	0 - 1	September 28, 2025
Tacoma Defiance	San Jose Earthquakes II	4 - 4	July 4, 2025
Tacoma Defiance	San Jose Earthquakes II	3 - 1	March 15, 2025
San Jose Earthquakes II	Tacoma Defiance	1 - 1	August 26, 2024
San Jose Earthquakes II	Tacoma Defiance	2 - 1	June 12, 2024

San Jose Earthquakes II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Portland Timbers II	2 - 3	Win
Jun 18, 26	Away	Whitecaps II	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Home	Real Monarchs	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	North Texas	2 - 2	Draw
May 18, 26	Home	Portland Timbers II	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Real Monarchs	1 - 1	Draw

Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 22, 26	Home	Real Monarchs	1 - 0	Win
Jun 18, 26	Home	Houston Dynamo FC II	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Portland Timbers II	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	LA Galaxy II	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Whitecaps II	0 - 2	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Austin II	3 - 0	Loss

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	San Jose Earthquakes II	14	7	3	4	31	17	+14	24
21	Tacoma Defiance	15	5	3	7	16	20	-4	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.48% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

San Jose Earthquakes II to win

This prediction indicates that San Jose Earthquakes II has a 57.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.90 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 74.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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