Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
D
L
L
W
L
L
St. Louis City
W
W
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 3 | April 26, 2026 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | St. Louis City | 1 - 3 | September 21, 2025 |
| St. Louis City | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 1 | May 31, 2025 |
| St. Louis City | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 2 | February 15, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | St. Louis City | 1 - 2 | September 22, 2024 |
| St. Louis City | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 0 | July 4, 2024 |
San Jose Earthquakes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Orlando City SC | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Club Tijuana | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 14, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 3 - 2 | Loss |
St. Louis City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Austin | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | DC United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Los Angeles FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 20 | +15 | 33 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.56% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.San Jose Earthquakes to win
This prediction indicates that San Jose Earthquakes has a 53.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.96 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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