San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia M. Wednesday 29th July 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

San Lorenzo Gimnasia M.

San Lorenzo L D D D L D

Gimnasia M. W L W D D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gimnasia M.	San Lorenzo	0 - 1	January 27, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Home	Deportivo Recoleta	0 - 1	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Santos	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	River Plate	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Independiente	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Home	Santos	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 4, 26	Home	Defensa Y Justicia	2 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Independ. Rivadavia	5 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Home	Lanus	1 - 0	Win
Apr 15, 26	Home	Gimnasia Y Tiro	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Platense	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Velez Sarsfield	3 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	San Lorenzo	17	5	8	4	15	15	0	23
22	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	-8	19

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that San Lorenzo has a 51.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.12 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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