San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe Thursday 13th August 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

San Marcos de Arica Union San Felipe

San Marcos de Arica W L L W D D

Union San Felipe L D W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Union San Felipe	San Marcos de Arica	1 - 1	March 23, 2026
San Marcos de Arica	Union San Felipe	1 - 0	October 18, 2025
Union San Felipe	San Marcos de Arica	1 - 2	June 7, 2025
San Marcos de Arica	Union San Felipe	1 - 2	October 20, 2024
Union San Felipe	San Marcos de Arica	0 - 2	June 4, 2024
Union San Felipe	San Marcos de Arica	3 - 0	July 22, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Magallanes	2 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	San Luis	1 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Deportes Temuco	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	D. Puerto Montt	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Antofagasta	1 - 1	Draw
May 12, 26	Away	Curico Unido	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Santiago Wanderers	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Away	Union Espanola	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	D. Puerto Montt	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Deportes Temuco	5 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Rangers de Talca	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Deportes Copiapo	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	San Marcos de Arica	16	7	7	2	21	11	+10	28
14	Union San Felipe	16	4	4	8	13	29	-16	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that San Marcos de Arica has a 63.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.15 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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