San Marino vs Azerbaijan Tuesday 09th June 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

San Marino Azerbaijan

San Marino L D L L L L

Azerbaijan L L L L L D

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Azerbaijan	San Marino	5 - 1	September 4, 2017
San Marino	Azerbaijan	0 - 1	September 4, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Home	Bangladesh	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Home	Andorra	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 28, 26	Home	Faroe Islands	1 - 2	Loss
Nov 18, 25	Away	Romania	7 - 1	Loss
Nov 13, 25	Away	Czech Republic	1 - 0	Loss
Oct 12, 25	Home	Cyprus	0 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Home	Malta	0 - 2	Loss
Nov 16, 25	Home	France	1 - 3	Loss
Nov 13, 25	Home	Iceland	0 - 2	Loss
Oct 13, 25	Away	Ukraine	2 - 1	Loss
Oct 10, 25	Away	France	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 9, 25	Home	Ukraine	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
262	San Marino	3	0	1	2	2	4	-2	1
313	Azerbaijan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Azerbaijan has a 36.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.07 %

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