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Primera Nacional

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

San Martin S.J. Gimnasia Y Tiro
San Martin S.J. D L W L W L
Gimnasia Y Tiro W W W D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Gimnasia Y Tiro San Martin S.J. 1 - 1 April 4, 2026
San Martin S.J. Gimnasia Y Tiro 2 - 1 November 3, 2024

San Martin S.J. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Agropecuario 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Club Atlético Güemes 0 - 2 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Chacarita Juniors 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Gimnasia Jujuy 2 - 1 Loss

Gimnasia Y Tiro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 5, 26 Away Almagro 0 - 2 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Temperley 1 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Deportivo Maipu 1 - 0 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Patronato 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Colegiales 1 - 2 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Deportivo Maipu 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Gimnasia Y Tiro 22 8 7 7 22 22 0 31
22 San Martin S.J. 21 7 6 8 22 22 0 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
San Martin S.J. to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that San Martin S.J. has a 37.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.80 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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