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Primera Nacional

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

San Martin Tucuman Almagro
San Martin Tucuman D L D L L L
Almagro W W D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Almagro San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 February 21, 2026
San Martin Tucuman Almagro 1 - 1 June 14, 2025
Almagro San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 February 8, 2025
Almagro San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 July 23, 2023
San Martin Tucuman Almagro 1 - 0 March 19, 2023
San Martin Tucuman Almagro 2 - 0 March 19, 2022

San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Temperley 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Colegiales 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Midland 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Atlanta 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Loss

Almagro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Atlanta 2 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home San Martin S.J. 1 - 2 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
19 San Martin Tucuman 18 5 8 5 15 15 0 23
21 Almagro 18 6 4 8 15 19 -4 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that San Martin Tucuman will score 0 goals, and Almagro will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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