San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

San Martin Tucuman Deportivo Madryn

San Martin Tucuman L D W W D L

Deportivo Madryn D D L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Madryn	San Martin Tucuman	1 - 1	March 29, 2026
Deportivo Madryn	San Martin Tucuman	3 - 1	August 10, 2025
San Martin Tucuman	Deportivo Madryn	0 - 0	April 6, 2025
Deportivo Madryn	San Martin Tucuman	1 - 2	February 26, 2022

San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Temperley	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Deportivo Maipu	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Almagro	3 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Patronato	0 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Temperley	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Colegiales	2 - 0	Loss

Deportivo Madryn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Los Andes	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Deportivo Moron	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Home	Colon Santa Fe	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Los Andes	2 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	San Miguel	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	San Telmo	0 - 0	Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Deportivo Madryn	21	7	9	5	27	22	+5	30
15	San Martin Tucuman	22	7	9	6	20	17	+3	30

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

San Martin Tucuman to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that San Martin Tucuman has a 35.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.37 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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